Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.180692e-03 0.001327 0.001475 0.001635 0.001802 0.001972 0.002157
2025-03-16 9.164607e-04 0.001139 0.001373 0.001635 0.001918 0.002213 0.002542
2025-03-23 7.266230e-04 0.001009 0.001320 0.001681 0.002082 0.002509 0.002994
2025-03-30 5.494458e-04 0.000873 0.001248 0.001699 0.002213 0.002772 0.003418
2025-04-06 3.978983e-04 0.000746 0.001173 0.001705 0.002329 0.003020 0.003830
2025-04-13 2.752227e-04 0.000634 0.001103 0.001710 0.002439 0.003261 0.004236
2025-04-20 1.711741e-04 0.000522 0.001021 0.001692 0.002518 0.003465 0.004601
2025-04-27 9.421302e-05 0.000426 0.000945 0.001675 0.002594 0.003662 0.004958
2025-05-04 5.571621e-05 0.000380 0.000933 0.001734 0.002759 0.003964 0.005436
2025-05-11 2.612163e-05 0.000333 0.000911 0.001777 0.002904 0.004241 0.005884
2025-05-18 6.509305e-07 0.000235 0.000795 0.001684 0.002873 0.004305 0.006083
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000171 0.000720 0.001640 0.002899 0.004435 0.006356
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000123 0.000665 0.001625 0.002968 0.004625 0.006713
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000088 0.000626 0.001632 0.003067 0.004853 0.007117
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000069 0.000617 0.001683 0.003224 0.005156 0.007614
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000047 0.000590 0.001704 0.003342 0.005409 0.008052
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000028 0.000558 0.001714 0.003442 0.005640 0.008464
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000014 0.000526 0.001721 0.003537 0.005865 0.008869
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000003 0.000483 0.001704 0.003597 0.006045 0.009218
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000443 0.001688 0.003656 0.006222 0.009563
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000445 0.001748 0.003823 0.006536 0.010075
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000439 0.001792 0.003966 0.006819 0.010550
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000365 0.001699 0.003908 0.006842 0.010703